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Fallout from Russian mercenary armed revolt

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday issued via the Kremlin website his first statement since an armed mutiny by mercenary chief Yevgeny Prigozhin, congratulating participants of an industrial forum. It was not immediately clear when or where Putin’s statement was recorded. Putin made a national address to the Russian people on Saturday condemning the mutiny by Wagner mercenaries as a “stab in the back” and vowing to crush it. He has not commented publicly on the subsequent deal, announced late on Saturday, that appeared to defuse the crisis and avert possible bloodshed by allowing the Wagner fighters to return to base and their leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, to move to Belarus. as reported by the Associated Press:

Fallout from Russian mercenary armed revolt

Newslooks- (AP)

Britain’s defense minister said Monday that Ukraine has recaptured about 300 square kilometers (115 square miles) of territory during its ongoing counteroffensive.

Defense Secretary Ben Wallace told lawmakers in the House of Commons that Ukraine is making “gradual but steady tactical progress” in the south and east of the country.

“Russia does not appear to have the uncommitted ground forces needed to counter the multiple threats it is now facing from Ukraine, which extend over 200 kilometers from Bakhmut to the eastern bank of the Dnipro River,” he said.

British Defence Secretary Ben Wallace leaves the Cabinet Office in Whitehall, London, Tuesday April 25, 2023. Deputy Prime Minister Oliver Dowden will chair a Cobra meeting on the evacuation of British nationals from Sudan. (Jordan Pettitt/PA via AP)

Wallace said Russia had mounted an attack of its own in the Luhansk region of eastern Ukraine, making “some small gains,” but that “Ukrainian forces have prevented a breakthrough.” In an earlier update, Britain’s Defense Ministry said Ukraine had gained impetus in its assaults around Bakhmut in Donetsk Oblast, making progress on both the northern and southern flanks of the town.

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Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki says the mutiny attempted by Wagner Group mercenary chief Yevgeny Prigozhin showed that “the situation in Russia is uncertain” and provides a reason for Poland and its NATO allies to intensively monitor what is happening in the country.

“Russia shows it’s an unpredictable state,” Morawiecki said on Monday after a meeting he and the prime ministers of Slovakia, the Czech Republic and Hungary met in Slovakia’s capital. The Central European countries nations are part of an informal group known as the Visegrad Four.

From left, Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban, Czech Republic’s Prime Minister Petr Fiala, Slovakia’s Prime Minister L’udovít Odor and Poland’s Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki pose for the media during the V4 summit in Bratislava, Slovakia, Monday, June 26, 2023. The leaders of four Central European countries are emphasizing issues that tie them together and downplaying those that have caused divisions during a summit of regional prime ministers in Slovakia. (Martin Baumann/TASR via AP)

Slovakia’s prime minister, said the aborted rebellion by Wagner’s private army over the weekend indicated “the situation in Russia is not as stable as it appeared to be a couple weeks or months ago.”

“It seems there’s not just a single Russian army, but more of them, which might turn to be an advantage for Ukraine,” Odor said.

Prigozhin’s mercenaries have fought alongside the Russian army in Ukraine, but the group’s future is uncertain.

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A spokesman for German Chancellor Olaf Scholz reacted cautiously Monday when asked to assess what had happened in Russia over the weekend.

“First of all, this is an internal Russian matter and we are monitoring what is happening there,” Steffen Hebestreit told reporters in Berlin. “What actually occurred there, only time will tell.”

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz attends a news conference with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg after a meeting at the Chancellery in Berlin, Germany, Monday, June 19, 2023. (AP Photo/Markus Schreiber)

Hebestreit declined to say what impact the latest events would have on the diplomatic efforts to begin peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. But he said that Scholz’s top foreign policy adviser, Jens Ploetner, attended a closed-door meeting over the weekend in Copenhagen between Western countries and the so-called BRICS group of major emerging economies.

Russia, which would normally attend such a meeting, wasn’t present.

The meeting had been proposed by Ukraine, Hebestreit said, but he wouldn’t comment on the content of the meeting, nor on whether Germany had been in contact with Russian officials over the weekend, including about the safety of Moscow’s nuclear arsenal.

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Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has made his first public appearance since a mercenary uprising demanded his ouster.

Shoigu appeared in a video Monday inspecting troops in Ukraine, apparently in a bid to project a sense of order after a weekend that saw armed rebels seize a Russian city and march seemingly unopposed on the capital.

Shoigu is one of three powerful Russian military leaders whose diverging interests erupted into mutiny on Friday when thousands of Wagner Group mercenaries headed from Ukraine deep into Russia, before turning around Saturday after less than 24 hours.

In this photo released on Monday, June 26, 2023 by Russian Defense Ministry Press Service, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu speaks to officers as he inspects a command post of one of the formations of the Zapad (West) group of Russian troops at an undisclosed location of Ukraine. Shoigu made his first public appearance Monday since a mercenary uprising demanded his ouster, inspecting troops in Ukraine. (Russian Defense Ministry Press Service via AP)

He is the first of the leaders to appear publicly since then. The Defense Ministry released the video with Shoigu in it, but it was unclear when it was filmed.

Wagner Group chief Yevgeny Prigozhin declared a “march of justice” to oust Shoigu and General Staff chief Gen. Valery Gerasimov late Friday. He withdrew after Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko brokered a deal to allow Prigozhin to move to Belarus and receive an amnesty, along with his soldiers.

FILE – Russian President Vladimir Putin is seen on monitors as he addresses the nation after Yevgeny Prigozhin, the owner of the Wagner Group military company, called for armed rebellion and reached the southern city of Rostov-on-Don with his troops, in Moscow, Russia, Saturday, June 24, 2023. (Pavel Bednyakov, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP, File)

Russian President Vladimir Putin hasn’t made any public appearances since issuing a brief televised address on Saturday during the mutiny.

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Speaking to reporters before chairing a meeting of European Union foreign ministers in Luxembourg, EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell said that the Wagner revolt showed that the war in Ukraine is “cracking Russia’s political system.”

“The monster that Putin created with Wagner, the monster is biting him now,” Borrel said Monday. “The monster is acting against his creator. The political system is showing fragilities, and the military power is cracking.”

European Union foreign policy chief Josep Borrell speaks with journalists as he arrives for a meeting of EU foreign ministers at the EU Council building in Brussels, Monday, Nov. 14, 2022. EU foreign ministers will hold exchanges of views on the Russian aggression against Ukraine, the Great Lakes region and Western Balkans. (AP Photo/Geert Vanden Wijngaert)

Upon arriving to the meeting in Luxembourg, Austrian Foreign Minister Alexander Schallenberg called Prigozhin a “megalomaniac mercenary leader,” and said the Wagner chief’s mutiny showed that “the evil spirit is out of the bottle” in Putin’s Russia.

Ukrainian soldiers on a Swedish CV90 infantry fighting vehicle at their positions near Bakhmut, Donetsk region, Ukraine, Sunday, June 25, 2023. (Roman Chop via AP)

“You almost have the feeling that the Russian president is like the sorcerer’s apprentice again. He can’t get rid of the ghosts he called, and they’re going to haunt him now,” Schallenberg said.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg speaks during a pre-ministerial media conference at NATO headquarters in Brussels, Wednesday, June 14, 2023. NATO defense ministers are holding two days of meetings to discuss their support for Ukraine and ways to boost the defenses of eastern flank allies near Russia. A meeting of the Ukraine Contact Group will also be held to drum up more military aid for the war-torn country. (AP Photo/Virginia Mayo)

During comments in Vilnius, Lithuania, on Monday, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg called the weekend mutiny “an internal Russian matter,” but said it was “yet another demonstration of the big strategic mistake that President Putin made with his illegal annexation of Crimea (in 2014) and the war against Ukraine.”

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KEY DEVELOPMENTS:

Russia tries to project a sense of order after mercenary revolt

Chaos in Russia is a morale booster for Ukraine as it pushes forward with counteroffensive

European Union urges caution but uncertainty swirls about Putin’s grip on power

Belarus deal to take in leader of Russian rebellion puts him in an even more repressive nation

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