Tuesday’s Primaries Test Democrats And Republicans Ahead Of Midterms/ Newslooks/ WASHINGTON/ J. Mansour/ Morning Edition/ Voters across six states head to the polls Tuesday in a series of primaries that could shape the political landscape ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. California’s governor race, Los Angeles mayoral contest, Iowa’s competitive statewide races, and a closely watched New Jersey congressional seat are among the key battles drawing national attention. Both parties are using the elections as an early test of voter sentiment on leadership, economic issues, and the direction of the country.
Tuesday Primaries Quick Looks
- California voters will narrow the race to replace Gov. Gavin Newsom.
- Former Health Secretary Xavier Becerra and Tom Steyer are among leading Democratic contenders.
- Steve Hilton is competing with support from President Trump.
- Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass faces a reelection challenge.
- Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt is running for mayor.
- Iowa Democrats see an opportunity to regain ground statewide.
- Rob Sand is running unopposed for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination.
- Republicans are battling for the Iowa governor’s race.
- New Jersey Republicans face questions surrounding Rep. Tom Kean Jr.’s absence.
- Montana and South Dakota Democrats are looking to independent candidates to strengthen Senate challenges.
Deep Look
Primary Elections Offer Early Midterm Clues
WASHINGTON — Tuesday’s primary elections across California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota are expected to provide an important snapshot of voter attitudes heading into the 2026 midterm elections.
The contests come as both Democrats and Republicans attempt to measure public sentiment on economic conditions, political leadership, and national priorities.
Several races could offer clues about the strength of each party’s position heading into November.
California Governor’s Race Lacks Traditional Star Power
California’s race to replace term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom has unfolded differently than many recent statewide contests.
The state has historically produced high-profile candidates, including figures such as Ronald Reagan and Arnold Schwarzenegger.
This year’s contest lacks a clear front-runner.
Among the most prominent candidates are:
- Xavier Becerra
- Tom Steyer
- Steve Hilton
Hilton is running with the backing of President Donald Trump.
California’s Unique Primary System Raises Stakes
California uses a top-two primary system in which all candidates appear on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation.
The two candidates receiving the most votes advance to the general election.
Earlier in the race, Democrats worried that a crowded field could split the vote and allow Republicans to dominate the November ballot.
Those concerns have eased in recent weeks as party leaders have grown more confident that at least one Democratic candidate will advance.
Los Angeles Mayor Race Draws National Interest
The Los Angeles mayoral contest has become one of the most closely watched local races in the country.
Mayor Karen Bass is seeking reelection as the city continues recovering from devastating wildfires.
Bass has acknowledged mistakes surrounding the crisis but has focused her campaign on recovery efforts and rebuilding.
She faces several challengers, including reality television personality Spencer Pratt.
Spencer Pratt Brings Celebrity Attention
Pratt, best known for appearing on the television series The Hills, has emerged as one of Bass’ most visible critics.
He has blamed city leadership for wildfire-related losses, including the destruction of his own home.
Pratt has used social media extensively throughout the campaign and received favorable comments from Trump.
The race is officially nonpartisan, but political affiliations remain a major factor.
Iowa Democrats See Rare Opportunity
Democrats are increasingly optimistic about their chances in Iowa after years of Republican success in statewide elections.
Much of that optimism centers on Rob Sand, who is running unopposed for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination.
Sand has built a reputation as a statewide vote-getter and is viewed as one of the party’s strongest candidates in a traditionally Republican-leaning state.
Party leaders hope economic concerns and changing political dynamics can help improve Democratic fortunes.
Republicans Battle For Iowa Governor Nomination
The Republican primary features five candidates competing to replace the outgoing governor.
Trump recently endorsed Randy Feenstra in the race.
The endorsement elevated Feenstra’s profile and reinforced Trump’s continuing influence within Republican primaries.
The eventual nominee is expected to face Sand in what could become one of the most competitive governor’s races in the country.
Iowa Senate Contest Also In Focus
Iowa voters are also selecting nominees for a U.S. Senate seat currently held by Joni Ernst.
Democrats are choosing between:
Republicans have largely united behind Ashley Hinson.
The race reflects broader debates about the future direction of the Democratic Party.
New Jersey Seat Creates Republican Headache
One of the most closely watched congressional races is unfolding in New Jersey’s 7th District.
Republican Rep. Tom Kean Jr. has been absent from public duties for roughly three months because of an undisclosed medical issue.
His absence has resulted in more than 100 missed votes in Congress.
Democrats have made the issue central to their campaign strategy as they seek to flip the competitive district.
Trump Defends Kean
Despite growing scrutiny, Trump publicly defended Kean on social media.
The president said Kean was:
“working tirelessly” to support the MAGA agenda.
The statement highlights the White House’s effort to protect a key Republican seat as the party seeks to maintain its House majority.
Independents Could Shape Senate Races
In Montana and South Dakota, some of the most significant challengers to Republican Senate candidates may not come from Democratic nominees.
Instead, attention is focused on independent candidates.
In Montana, former University of Montana president Seth Bodnar has emerged as a well-funded contender.
In South Dakota, independent candidate Brian Bengs is viewed by some observers as a potentially stronger challenger than the Democratic nominee.
Early Political Test Ahead Of November
The primary results will not determine control of Congress or governorships, but they could reveal important trends.
Both parties are watching closely for signs involving:
- Voter enthusiasm.
- Turnout patterns.
- Independent voter engagement.
- Economic concerns.
- Support for Trump-backed candidates.
Those factors could help shape campaign strategies for the remainder of the election cycle.
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