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London takes center stage as vote count begins in mayoral contest that could be closer than thought

London took center stage on Saturday as the counting of votes began in the capital city’s mayoral contest, a day after Britain’s governing Conservative Party suffered a drubbing in local election results.

Quick Read

  • London Mayoral Vote Count Begins: London is in focus as the count for its mayoral election starts, following a day that saw the Conservative Party facing significant losses in local elections. Sadiq Khan of the Labour Party, the incumbent mayor, is seeking a third consecutive term, facing unexpected competition.
  • Tighter Race Than Expected: The race has tightened, notably because voter turnout was higher in suburban areas, which tend to favor the Conservative candidate, Susan Hall. Hall has gained traction by focusing on suburban concerns like the levy on high-polluting vehicles.
  • Labour’s National Prospects Strengthened: Despite uncertainties in the mayoral race, the Labour Party has shown strong performance in other local elections, hinting at potential success in the upcoming national general election.
  • Concerns Over Labour’s Stance on Gaza: Labour’s pronounced pro-Israel stance amid the Gaza conflict has reportedly affected its support among Muslim voters in England, potentially impacting Khan’s re-election chances.
  • Election Results Expected by Sunday: Initial results are expected by lunchtime but could extend into early Sunday due to the close nature of the race.
  • Prime Minister Sunak Under Pressure: Prime Minister Rishi Sunak faces pressures within his party despite a win in Tees Valley, where the Conservative mayor was reelected. This has temporarily staved off challenges to his leadership.
  • Labour Calls for Immediate General Election: Labour leader Keir Starmer has urged Sunak to call a national election immediately, capitalizing on the current momentum and Conservative vulnerabilities.
  • Local Elections Viewed as National Barometer: The local elections are seen as a direct indicator of public sentiment ahead of a national election, with the Conservative Party losing seats and Labour making significant gains.

The Associated Press has the story:

London takes center stage as vote count begins in mayoral contest that could be closer than thought

Newslooks- LONDON (AP) —

London took center stage on Saturday as the counting of votes began in the capital city’s mayoral contest, a day after Britain’s governing Conservative Party suffered a drubbing in local election results.

FILE – London Mayor Sadiq Khan stands in front of a mural as he attends a live screening of the Women’s Euro 2022 semifinal soccer match between England and Sweden at the fan area in Trafalgar Square in London, England, Tuesday, July 26, 2022. The U.K.’s governing Conservative Party has suspended ties with one if its lawmakers after he accused London Mayor Sadiq Khan of being controlled by Islamists, as tensions over the Israel-Hamas war continue to roil British politics. (AP Photo/Albert Pezzali, File)

Sadiq Khan, the Labour Party mayor who is chasing a historic third straight election win, had been widely expected to win easily, but there are some concerns that the race may be tighter than previously thought.

Britain’s Prime Minister Rishi Sunak speaks as he takes part in broadcasting a clip during his visit to the Helles Barracks at the Catterick Garrison, a military base in North Yorkshire, Britain, Friday, May 3, 2024. (Molly Darlington/Pool photo via AP)

That’s mainly due to the fact that turnout at Thursday’s election — at a total of 40.5% — was higher in the outer suburbs than in the inner city. Khan’s main opponent, the Conservatives’ Susan Hall, focused her campaign on issues such as a levy imposed on high-polluting vehicles, which has resonated in the suburbs where residents depend more on their cars for work and essential travel.

Also, there are concerns within Labour that Khan may have suffered from the blowback of the party leadership’s strong pro-Israel stance over the war in Gaza, which results Friday clearly showed depressed support in strongly Muslim areas in England.

The result is due around lunchtime but officials have cautioned that it could run into the early hours of Sunday.

Britain’s Labour Party leader Sir Keir Starmer, center, and shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves, celebrate with David Skaith at Northallerton Town Football Club, North Yorkshire, after winning the York and North Yorkshire mayoral election, Friday May 3, 2024. (Owen Humphreys/PA via AP)

Overall, the results of Thursday’s array of local elections cemented expectations that the Labour Party will return to power after 14 years in a U.K. general election that will take place in the coming months.

Labour won control of councils in England that the party hasn’t held for decades, and was successful in a special election for a seat in Parliament. If those results are repeated in the general election, it would lead to one of the Conservatives’ biggest-ever defeats.

Conservative party candidate Lord Ben Houchen, left, with Britain’s Prime Minister Rishi Sunak following his re-election as Tees Valley Mayor in Teesside, England, Friday May 3, 2024. (Owen Humphreys/PA via AP)

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak was able to breathe a sigh of relief when the Conservative mayor of Tees Valley in the northeast of England was reelected, albeit with a depressed share of the vote.

The victory of Ben Houchen, who ran a very personal campaign, appears to have been enough to cushion Sunak from any revolt by Conservative lawmakers.

Sunak will be hoping that Andy Street will also hold on in the West Midlands, especially in Birmingham, which has a big Muslim community.

Labour candidate Chris Webb celebrates after winning the Blackpool South by-election following the count at Blackpool Sports Centre in Blackpool, Britain, Friday, May 3, 2024. (Peter Byrne/PA via AP)

Labour leader Keir Starmer conceded that the party has had issues with Muslim voters, but the results in general were positive for the man who is favorite to become prime minister at the next general election.

“We’re fed up with your division, with your chaos, with your failure,” he said Saturday. “If you leave your country in a worse state than when you found it 14 years later, you do not deserve to be in government a moment longer.”

He called on Sunak to call an election now. Sunak has the power to decide on the date, and has indicated that it will be in the second half of 2024.

FILE – A woman pushes a buggy as she arrives to vote at a polling station in London, Thursday, May 2, 2024. Britain’s governing Conservative Party is suffering heavy losses as local election results pour in Friday, piling pressure on Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ahead of a U.K. general election in which the main opposition Labour Party appears increasingly likely to return to power after 14 years. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung, File)

Thursday’s elections in large parts of England were important in themselves, with voters deciding on who runs many aspects of their daily lives, such as garbage collection, road maintenance and local crime prevention. But with a national election looming, they are being viewed through a national prism.

John Curtice, professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde, said the results show that Sunak has not helped the Conservative brand following the damage accrued by the actions of his predecessors, Boris Johnson and then Liz Truss.

“That in a sense is the big takeaway,” he told BBC radio.

Counting begins at the Blackpool South by-election at Blackpool Sports Centre in Blackpool, England, Thursday, May 2, 2024. The by-election was triggered after the resignation of Scott Benton. (Peter Byrne/PA via AP)

Sunak became prime minister in October 2022, after Truss’s short-lived tenure. She left office after 49 days following a budget of unfunded tax cuts that roiled financial markets and sent borrowing costs for homeowners surging.

Her chaotic — and traumatic — leadership compounded the Conservatives’ difficulties following the circus surrounding her predecessor Johnson, who was forced to quit after being adjudged to have lied to Parliament over coronavirus lockdown breaches at his offices in Downing Street.

Britain’s Prime Minister Rishi Sunak smiles as he inspects the Passing Out Parade of the Parachute Regiment recruits during his visit to the Helles Barracks at the Catterick Garrison, a military base in North Yorkshire, Britain, Friday, May 3, 2024. (Molly Darlington/Pool photo via AP)

By midmorning Saturday, with most of the 2,661 seats up for grabs in the local elections counted, the Conservatives were down by more than 446 while Labour was up 173. Other parties, such as the centrist Liberal Democrats and the Green Party also made gains. Reform U.K., which is trying to usurp the Conservatives from the right, also had some successes, notably in Blackpool South, where it was less than 200 votes from grabbing second place.

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