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Trump, DeSantis facing new GOP Candidates

A new wave of GOP White House hopefuls will begin entering the race as soon as next week following a months’-long lull to challenge former President Donald Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in the the opening phase of the Republican presidential primary. The Associated Press has the story:

Trump, DeSantis facing new GOP Candidates

Newslooks- NEW YORK (AP)

The opening phase of the Republican presidential primary has largely centered on former President Donald Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis ‘ escalating collision.

But a new wave of GOP White House hopefuls will begin entering the race as soon as next week following a months’-long lull. They include former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, who will formally launch his campaign Wednesday.

FILE – Republican presidential candidate former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson speaks to reporters after meet and greet at the VFW Post 9127, Thursday, April 13, 2023, in Des Moines, Iowa. Hutchinson formally launched his campaign Wednesday. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall, File)

Former Vice President Mike Pence has said he will finalize his plans in “weeks, not months.” He has kept a busy schedule of early state visits and policy speeches as aides have discussed details of an announcement including dates as early as May, but more likely in June. South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, who has formed a presidential exploratory committee, is expected to join the race in a similar time frame.

FILE – Former Vice President Mike Pence speaks at the National Review Ideas Summit, Friday, March 31, 2023, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File)

Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, meanwhile, has been meeting with former aides and returned to New Hampshire this week, where he told the first-in-the-nation primary state that, “Tonight is the beginning of the case against Donald Trump.” He has said he will make a decision “in the next couple of weeks.”

FILE – Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie addresses a gathering during a town hall style meeting at New England College, Thursday, April 20, 2023, in Henniker, N.H. (AP Photo/Charles Krupa, File)

The contenders will enter the race at a critical moment as DeSantis, who hasn’t officially announced a campaign, has struggled to live up to sky-high expectations among some early backers. He has been losing support among elected Republicans in his own state to Trump and is prompting concern among some in the party that his positions on abortion and LGBTQ rights, among other issues, could render him unelectable in a general election. Trump in recent weeks has solidified his status as the race’s early frontrunner, even after he was indicted in New York, but remains the subject of intensifying investigations in Atlanta and Washington and persistent concerns about his electability after losing to President Joe Biden in 2020.

FILE – South Carolina Republican gubernatorial candidate state Rep. Nikki Haley and Republican congressional candidate Tim Scott campaign Oct. 7, 2010, in North Charleston, S.C. As the 2024 Republican field begins to take shape, the potential of a faceoff between Haley and Scott is putting some of their mutual supporters in the critical early-voting state of South Carolina in a conundrum as they weigh which candidate to support. (AP Photo/Bruce Smith, File)

Would-be rivals hope that dynamic leaves an opening for one of the fresh entrants to emerge as an alternative to the current polling leaders. Some strategists hope Trump and DeSantis will attack one another so viciously that they will turn off voters, leaving them searching for an alternative.

“It’s not uncommon for a third candidate who’s not involved in the kerfuffle to rise,” said Bryan Lanza, a former Trump adviser, who has been informally advising Larry Elder, the conservative talk radio host who launch a his long-shot campaign Thursday.

Republican conservative radio show host Larry Elder speaks after losing the California gubernatorial recall election Tuesday, Sept. 14, 2021, in Costa Mesa, Calif. The rare, late-summer election, which challenged California Gov. Gavin Newsom, emerged as a national battlefront on issues from COVID-19 restrictions to climate change. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)

Lanza said he expects a robust race to be the “leader of the second tier” of candidates currently polling at under 10%.

Beyond Trump and Elder, the current field of official GOP presidential candidates includes former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley and tech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, both of whom announced their bids in February.

FILE – Vivek Ramaswamy speaks at the Conservative Political Action Conference, CPAC 2023, March 3, 2023, at National Harbor in Oxon Hill, Md. On Saturday, March 18, in North Charleston, Palmetto Family, which lobbies for what it considers to be “biblical values,” is hosting Vision ’24, described by organizers as “casting the conservative vision” for the next White House race. Attendees are expected to hear from presidential hopefuls, including Nikki Haley, a former South Carolina governor who was Donald Trump’s U.N. ambassador, and Ramaswamy. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File)

President Joe Biden, meanwhile, is expected to announce his reelection effort as soon as next week. He faces minimal primary competition.

President Joe Biden listens as he meets with Colombian President Gustavo Petro in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, Thursday, April 20, 2023. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)

Among Republicans, the early debates that are slated to begin this summer could be crucial in determining who builds momentum, particularly given DeSantis’ expectations.

That means candidates may need to cement their planning soon, even if they’d prefer to wait longer. The Republican National Committee has scheduled the first debate for August and is expected to set strict benchmarks that candidates must satisfy to participate, including amassing tens of thousands of individual donors.

“That takes a little time to do and so if you’re gong to be serious about this — and I think you have to be on the stage to be serious about it — then you probably have to make the decision by May,” Christie said this week during an interview with the media outlet Semafor.

In the meantime, candidates-in-waiting have seen little reason to jump in sooner, particularly given Trump’s propensity to attack. Instead, they have been biding their time, visiting early voting states, delivering speeches and wooing donors as they assess the field. Pence, for instance, was in California this week meeting with potential backers and will host another donor retreat for his nonprofit group in late May.

FILE – Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis speaks at the Heritage Foundation 50th Anniversary Celebration leadership summit, Friday, April 21, 2023, in Oxon Hill, Md. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File)

“If I was in their shoes, I would wait as long as possible,” said former Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, who was considered an early favorite for the Republican nomination when he ran against Trump in 2016. He remembers realizing, in those early weeks, how dramatically Trump had upended the race, dominating everything.

“There was no way around it then,” he said. “And right now, anybody who thinks they’re somehow going to go in and change that is missing the reality.”

The rivalry between Trump and DeSantis has been turning uglier by the day, with political groups supporting both men already spending millions on attack ads.

While DeSantis has largely ignored Trump’s jabs questioning his commitment to Social Security, his relationship with young girls as a teacher decades ago and even his sexuality, a pro-DeSantis super PAC, Never Back Down, began to respond in its first round of paid ads last weekend.

“Trump should fight Democrats, not lie about Gov. DeSantis,” the narrator says in an ad that ran on Fox News. “What happened to Donald Trump?”

FILE – Former President Donald Trump speaks at the National Rifle Association Convention in Indianapolis, Friday, April 14, 2023. The opening phase of the Republican presidential primary has largely centered on Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ escalating collision. But a new wave of GOP White House hopefuls will begin entering the race as soon as next week following a months’-long lull. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy, File)

The spot ran in conjunction with an online attack ad that described Trump as “a coward” and a “gun grabber” geotargeted to attendees at an RNC donor retreat in Indiana.

Trump’s super PAC, MAGA Inc., meanwhile, has been airing its own trio of spots on cable news channels highlighting DeSantis’ votes to cut Social Security and Medicare and raise the retirement age.

“The more you learn about DeSantis, the more you see he doesn’t share our values. He’s just not ready to be president,” said the narrator in one. Another seized on a report that DeSantis once ate pudding with his fingers, urging DeSantis “to keep his pudding fingers off our money.”

FILE – Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan speaks during a news conference, Oct. 25, 2021, in Annapolis, Md. A resurgent GOP is poised to reclaim one, if not both, chambers of Congress and retain its lock on dozens of state legislatures and governor’s offices. The turnaround — which is expected but far from assured — is fueled by an unpopular Joe Biden presidency, deep frustration with the lingering pandemic and fresh concerns about inflation, as well as the GOP having history on its side.(AP Photo/Brian Witte, File)

Trump and his campaign have long seen DeSantis as his only serious challenger and believed the more crowded the field, the better for Trump, as candidates split the anti-Trump vote. But a repeat of 2016’s massive field hasn’t materialized, with potential candidates like former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan passing on campaigns.

FILE – Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo addresses an audience at a periodic “Politics and Eggs” gathering at Saint Anselm College, in Manchester, N.H., Sept. 20, 2022. The Biden administration has determined that Iranian threats against former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and one of his former top aides remain credible and persist. (AP Photo/Steven Senne)

There are still plenty of unknown dynamics, including whether governors such as Kristi Noem of South Dakota or Chris Sununu of New Hampshire will launch campaigns. Both Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Virginia Gov. Glen Youngkin have said they are focused on other races, but neither has explicitly ruled out a run, leaving open the possibility they could mount late-entry bids.

Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, speaks during the Leadership Forum at the National Rifle Association Annual Meeting at the George R. Brown Convention Center Friday, May 27, 2022, in Houston. (AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
FILE – Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin speaks to supporters as he attends a campaign rally on Monday, Oct. 31, 2022, in Westchester, N.Y. One year after Glenn Youngkin became the first Republican in more than a decade to win the Virginia governorship, some in his party believe the shine of his national star is being tested just as he quietly contemplates a 2024 presidential run. (AP Photo/Eduardo Munoz Alvarez, File)

Mike DuHaime, a Republican strategist and longtime Christie adviser, believes that Trump is the favorite but nonetheless beatable. He cautioned that races are complicated, with unexpected outcomes.

FILE – New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu takes part in a panel discussion during a Republican Governors Association conference on Nov. 15, 2022, in Orlando, Fla. “Any conversation about banning abortion or limiting it nationwide is an electoral disaster for the Republicans,” said Sununu, a Republican who describes himself as “pro-choice” but also signed a law banning abortions in the state after 24 weeks. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack, File)

“I do think that DeSantis is right now firmly the alternative to Trump, but I don’t know if it stays that way. There’s still way too long to go,” he said, arguing that a debate moment or news story could change the trajectory.

South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem gives the State of the State address on Tuesday, Jan. 10, 2023, at the South Dakota State Capitol in Pierre, S.D. (Erin Woodiel/The Argus Leader via AP)

“Somebody’s just got to get momentum,” he said. “It’s just so wide open even with Trump being the prohibitive favorite.”

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